Should MIN Have Gone For It?
Posted By Admin on May 16, 2010
I received a few requests to analyze MIN’s final drive from last night. With a little over 5 min left, down by 5 points, they faced a 4th and 11 from the NO 44. MIN punted, and NO was able to convert 3 first downs and seal the game. Should MIN have gone for it?
The short answer is no. 4th and 11s are converted less than 30% of the time. The WP model shows the punt being worth 0.26 WP, and the
Advanced NFL Stats
Comments
Leave a Reply